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Journal number 4 ∘ David Chelidze
Inflation and Some Directions of Improvement in Its Management - Regulation

          Despite the severity of the problems facing the Georgian economy, the recent inflationary processes deserve special attention. Activation of the fight against inflation implies the study-analysis of the legal framework regulating the functioning of the monetary-credit system of the country.

In the light of the foregoing in the first part of the work based on estimation of the key macroeconomic parameters stimulating inflation, in particular: the Real Gross National Product, the aggregate budget balance, foreign investments, the trade deficit, and the actual M2 Money Stock and trends estimated parameters, and the estimates made based on the Irving Fisher’s Equation of the Theory of Money, and the conclusion(s)  made upon complex analysis of the inflation targeting legal regulatory norms, improvement of the existing practice (including existing legal base) of management/regulation of inflation processes is regarded as an urgent objective. 

Based on all of the above, and a number of other factors, in the final part of the article recommendations are provided to improve the efficiency of inflation regulation/management. In particular: 

-taking into account the peculiarity of the Georgian language and adequate definition of economical essence of inflation in the legal acts, evaluation of the performance of the National Bank with unambiguous and objective criteria, it is deemed expedient to replace the term “Target Inflation Value” in the regulatory legal acts of the National Bank with “Inflation Threshold”;

- in order to ensure operativeness, necessary ineffective management of the inflation processes and effective parliamentary control over the operation of the National Bank, the established existing criterion for evaluating inflation is deemed expedient to be replaced with the criterion of the excess of the actual annual inflation rate over the inflation rate defined by the parliamentary decree of the same year;

-if the actual annual inflation rate exceeds the inflation rate of that year, defined in the decree of the Parliament of Georgia, it is regarded to be a duty of the national parliament to discuss the issue of responsibility of the President of the National Bank.

 

Keywords: Target Inflation Value, ways to improve inflation management/regulation (including the legal base), the responsibility of the National Bank.

JEL Codes: E31, P24, P44